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Thursday, June 13, 2024  
06 Dhul-Hijjah 1445  

Economists expect US recession, above-target inflation this year

The United States will likely enter a recession this year
Photo: AFP
Photo: AFP

WASHINGTON: The United States will likely enter a recession this year and face high inflation well into 2024, a majority of economists predicted in their response to a semiannual survey.

More than two-thirds of respondents to the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) Policy Survey also see inflation remaining above four percent at the end of this year.

The survey summarized the responses of 217 NABE members, and was conducted between March 2 and March 10, the organization said in a statement.

The US Federal Reserve has raised rates 4.75 percentage points in a bid to tackle rising inflation, which reached its highest level in decades last year.

Price rises slowed slightly to an annual level of 6.0 percent in February, which is well above the Fed’s long-term target of two percent.

US Fed mulls more rate hikes amid banking uncertainty

Amid the gloomy economic forecast, there was also some good news, with just five percent of respondents believing the US is currently in the midst of a recession, “far fewer” than the 19 percent in its previous economic survey, the NABE president Julia Coronado said in a statement.

Economists also slightly raised the chances of the Fed achieving a so-called “soft landing” – bringing down inflation while avoiding a recession – from 27 percent in August to 30 percent in March this year.

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