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Can India's cricket team still reach T20 semi-finals?

India's remaining fixtures, net run rate, other factors will decide team's future in ICC Men's T20 World Cup 2021
Virat Kohli’s side will now most likely need to win their three remaining fixtures while also hoping that other results and the net run rate equation goes their way. File photo
Virat Kohli’s side will now most likely need to win their three remaining fixtures while also hoping that other results and the net run rate equation goes their way. File photo

Two defeats from two teams have left India's cricket team trailing Pakistan, Afghanistan, New Zealand and Namibia in Group 2 of the Super 12 at the ICC Men's T20 World Cup 2021, according to an ICC report.

As per the report, the qualification conundrum in Group 2 of the ICC Men’s T20 World Cup 2021 took a turn on Sunday with New Zealand’s eight-wicket win over India.

New Zealand thrashed Twenty20 World Cup favourites India by eight wickets and completed the 111-run target in 15th over.

A week ago, Pakistan had defeated India with Babar Azam and Muhammad Rizwan completing the 152-run target without loss of wicket.

The result means that India, one of the pre-tournament favourites to take the title, are facing an uphill battle to make it out of the Super 12 stage, read the ICC report.

It further said without a point after losses to Pakistan and New Zealand, Virat Kohli’s side will now most likely need to win their three remaining fixtures while also hoping that other results and the net run rate equation goes their way.

India’s remaining fixtures

  • India v Afghanistan, Abu Dhabi – Wednesday 3 November
  • India v Scotland, Dubai – Friday 5 November
  • India v Namibia, Dubai – Monday 8 November

Is there any possibility for Indian team to qualify for the semi-finals?

The net run rate factor

India’s lowly net run rate of -1.609 means they will either have to finish points clear of their rivals for qualification or hope for big margins of victory in the back-end of the tournament to turn that net run rate (NRR) on its head.

The difficulty for India is that Afghanistan, who currently have four points to their name, hammered Scotland to such an extent that it’ll take a big change for India to overhaul their +3.097 NRR – currently the second-best at the tournament behind in-form England.

The crunch Afghanistan fixture

A loss to Afghanistan in Abu Dhabi which is scheduled on Wednesday will make India’s chances of making it out of Group 2 will be over. However, under the captaincy of Kohli, the team will not only be targeting a win, but also a big one in order to redress some of the NRR balance in the group.

India will probably then be hoping for a narrow Afghanistan win over New Zealand to take the qualification down to net run rate.

Hoping for an upset

The best chance for India to make it out of the group is for one of the Group 2 qualifiers, Namibia and Scotland, to pull off an upset against New Zealand. Both teams showed their class when making it through Round 1, but have yet to trouble the Test-playing nations during the Super 12 stage.

After the defeat to New Zealand, Kohli said: “I don't think we were brave enough with bat or ball.”

“We didn't have much to defend but we weren't brave when we walked out to field. When you play for the Indian cricket team you have a lot of expectations – not just from fans, but players as well," Kohli added.

"So there's always going to be more pressure with our games and we've embraced it over the years.

“Everyone who plays for India has to embrace it. And when you cope together as a team you overcome it and we haven't done it these two games.

“Just because you're the Indian team and there are expectations doesn't mean you start playing differently. I think we're fine, there's a lot of cricket left to play.”

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2021

T20 World Cup