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Turmoil in global energy markets and supply chains would persist for months even if the Strait of Hormuz reopens, analysts say, underscoring the lasting economic fallout from disruptions to one of the world’s most critical shipping lanes.
Experts told Al Jazeera that reopening the strait would not immediately restore normal conditions, with insurance costs, security risks and logistical bottlenecks expected to linger and weigh on maritime traffic.
The waterway, a vital conduit for global trade, has been at the centre of the ongoing conflict involving Iran, disrupting flows of oil, liquefied natural gas and other commodities.
Analysts said shipping through the strait would likely resume only gradually, as companies remain cautious about sending vessels through a region still seen as unstable.
Elevated war-risk insurance premiums and concerns over crew safety are expected to deter a rapid return to pre-crisis levels.
Even if physical access improves, the knock-on effects on global supply chains could take months to unwind, they added, with delays, rerouting and higher transport costs continuing to feed into prices.
Al Jazeera reported that the crisis has exposed the vulnerability of global trade to chokepoints such as the Strait of Hormuz, where disruptions can trigger wider economic shocks beyond energy markets.
Analysts also warned that broader geopolitical tensions and uncertainty surrounding the conflict would continue to cloud the outlook, limiting any immediate recovery in shipping and trade flows.