Major Gulf stock markets were mixed on Monday, coming off gains in 2022 for most, as investors braced for the new year with worries about a potential recession, crude demand and the US Fed hiking rates further.
Gulf Cooperation Council countries are in the firing line of Fed policy moves as five of them have their currencies pegged solely to the dollar and broadly match US monetary steps, while Kuwait’s dinar is linked to a basket of currencies believed to be dominated by the greenback.
Meanwhile, the IMF warned on Sunday that for much of the global economy, 2023 is going to be a tough year as the main engines of global growth - the United States, Europe and China - all experience weakening activity.
The new year is going to be “tougher than the year we leave behind,” IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said on the CBS Sunday morning news program Face the Nation.
Crude prices, which is highly correlated to the Gulf financial markets, swung wildly in 2022 and is expected to remain under pressure in 2023 on fears of recession and Covid-19 flare-ups in China threaten demand growth and offset the impact of supply shortfalls caused by sanctions on Russia.
A Reuters poll showed on Friday that of 30 economists and analysts forecast Brent crude would average $89.37 a barrel in 2023, about 4.6% lower than the $93.65 consensus in a November survey. The global benchmark has averaged $99 per barrel in 2022.
In Dubai, the main share index fell 0.2% pressured by a 1.4% decline in district cooling provider Emirates Central Cooling Systems Corporation (Empower) and a 0.9% drop in Dubai Electricity & Water Authority (DEWAA.DU).
Abu Dhabi’s index added 0.3%, bolstered by a 1.6% increase in AD Ports Group and a 2.4% hike in Multiply Group.
The benchmark was 2022’s best performer among the other peers in Gulf Cooperation Council countries finishing the year with a more than 20% gain, after hitting an all-time high in early November in 2022.
In Qatar, the benchmark was also up 0.3%, supported by its financial stocks but Saudi Arabia’s benchmark index retreated 0.2% with Saudi National Bank falling 0.8% and oil behemoth and index heavyweight Saudi Aramco easing 0.5%.
However, Etihad Atheeb Telecom soared more than 9% after it signed worth 77 million riyals ($20.48 million)contract with Emirate Of Najran Province on Sunday.
