Climate experts say conditions in the Pacific Ocean are gradually shifting toward El Niño by mid-2026. If it intensifies into a “super El Niño,” the event could rank among the strongest in over a century, amplifying heatwaves and altering rainfall patterns worldwide.

According to a report by The Guardian, parts of South Asia — including Pakistan and India — are already experiencing unusually early and intense heat. Temperatures have risen sharply across several cities, with nights remaining warmer than average, offering little relief.

Meteorologists warn that heat is likely to remain above normal levels through June, with further escalation possible if El Niño strengthens. The phenomenon, which occurs every two to seven years, is driven by warming sea surface temperatures in the Pacific and shifts in atmospheric circulation.

Its impacts are global. Some regions face heavier rainfall and flooding, while others endure drought and extreme heat.

In the event of a super El Niño, experts caution that heatwaves could become longer and more intense, particularly at night — a factor that significantly increases health risks. At the same time, monsoon rains may weaken, raising concerns about drought, agricultural losses and water shortages.

Early data already indicate rainfall deficits of up to 60% in some areas this year, heightening pressure on water resources and power systems.

While scientists note some uncertainty in current projections, forecasts are expected to become clearer in the coming months. However, there is broad agreement that a super El Niño would not be confined to one region, but would have far-reaching consequences for global weather, economies and human livelihoods.