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    <copyright>Copyright 2026</copyright>
    <pubDate>Tue, 21 Apr 2026 07:56:22 +0500</pubDate>
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    <ttl>60</ttl>
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      <title>Mystery trader garners $400,000-plus windfall on Maduro’s capture</title>
      <link>https://english.aaj.tv/news/330450494/mystery-trader-garners-400000-plus-windfall-on-maduros-capture</link>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;An unknown trader has raked in a profit worth about $410,000 after betting that Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro would be ousted from his position.&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The trader’s account on Polymarket, built up positions in contracts tied to Maduro’s removal on terms that implied long odds before the weekend raid.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Those wagers, which were worth about $34,000 prior to Maduro’s capture, surged in value after news of the US military operation on the Venezuelan leader emerged, Polymarket data shows.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Major stock indexes jumped, and oil prices gained earlier on Monday, while energy shares notched big gains after Maduro was captured by the US military during the weekend.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The country’s default-hit government bonds surged, buoyed by expectations of a large and complex sovereign debt restructuring.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Bonds issued by the government and state oil company Petroleos de Venezuela, known as PDVSA, jumped as much as 10 cents on the dollar, or almost 30%, as bullish investors swooped on the developments.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The mystery trade is likely to attract scrutiny from US lawmakers who have been pushing for stricter insider trading rules, including a bipartisan effort to potentially ban trading of stocks by lawmakers.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;After news of the Maduro trades emerged on Monday, Democratic congressman Ritchie Torres said he plans to introduce a bill this week that would bar elected officials, lawmakers and federal employees from placing bets on prediction market platforms where they could potentially access material non-public information.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The anonymous account was created last month, with the trader buying up $96 worth of contracts on December 27 that would pay off if the US invaded Venezuela by January 31.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The trader then made several more similar bets in the following days.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Prediction markets like Polymarket offer tradable yes-or-no contracts that allow users to bet on a wide range of real-world events, ranging from outcomes across sports, entertainment, politics and the economy.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;When a contract priced at a few cents pays out at $1, traders who have access to non-public information tied to such contracts can rake in massive profits within hours or days.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In September, Polymarket secured approval from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission to relaunch its operations in the country, following its $112 million acquisition of QCEX, a CFTC-licensed derivatives exchange and clearinghouse.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The CFTC did not immediately respond to a request for comment on whether it was looking into trades related to Maduro’s capture.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Polymarket has previously faced scrutiny for potential insider trading on the platform.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;While Americans at present do not have access to the main betting platform, many traders use VPNs to get around the ban.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Polymarket did not immediately respond to a request for comment.&lt;/p&gt;
</description>
      <content:encoded xmlns="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[<p><strong>An unknown trader has raked in a profit worth about $410,000 after betting that Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro would be ousted from his position.</strong></p>
<p>The trader’s account on Polymarket, built up positions in contracts tied to Maduro’s removal on terms that implied long odds before the weekend raid.</p>
<p>Those wagers, which were worth about $34,000 prior to Maduro’s capture, surged in value after news of the US military operation on the Venezuelan leader emerged, Polymarket data shows.</p>
<p>Major stock indexes jumped, and oil prices gained earlier on Monday, while energy shares notched big gains after Maduro was captured by the US military during the weekend.</p>
<p>The country’s default-hit government bonds surged, buoyed by expectations of a large and complex sovereign debt restructuring.</p>
<p>Bonds issued by the government and state oil company Petroleos de Venezuela, known as PDVSA, jumped as much as 10 cents on the dollar, or almost 30%, as bullish investors swooped on the developments.</p>
<p>The mystery trade is likely to attract scrutiny from US lawmakers who have been pushing for stricter insider trading rules, including a bipartisan effort to potentially ban trading of stocks by lawmakers.</p>
<p>After news of the Maduro trades emerged on Monday, Democratic congressman Ritchie Torres said he plans to introduce a bill this week that would bar elected officials, lawmakers and federal employees from placing bets on prediction market platforms where they could potentially access material non-public information.</p>
<p>The anonymous account was created last month, with the trader buying up $96 worth of contracts on December 27 that would pay off if the US invaded Venezuela by January 31.</p>
<p>The trader then made several more similar bets in the following days.</p>
<p>Prediction markets like Polymarket offer tradable yes-or-no contracts that allow users to bet on a wide range of real-world events, ranging from outcomes across sports, entertainment, politics and the economy.</p>
<p>When a contract priced at a few cents pays out at $1, traders who have access to non-public information tied to such contracts can rake in massive profits within hours or days.</p>
<p>In September, Polymarket secured approval from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission to relaunch its operations in the country, following its $112 million acquisition of QCEX, a CFTC-licensed derivatives exchange and clearinghouse.</p>
<p>The CFTC did not immediately respond to a request for comment on whether it was looking into trades related to Maduro’s capture.</p>
<p>Polymarket has previously faced scrutiny for potential insider trading on the platform.</p>
<p>While Americans at present do not have access to the main betting platform, many traders use VPNs to get around the ban.</p>
<p>Polymarket did not immediately respond to a request for comment.</p>
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      <category>World</category>
      <guid>https://english.aaj.tv/news/330450494</guid>
      <pubDate>Tue, 06 Jan 2026 13:13:23 +0500</pubDate>
      <author>none@none.com (Reuters)</author>
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        <media:title>A helicopter flies over the Metropolitan Detention Centre in Brooklyn, US. – Reuters
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